Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.167423e-05 0.000049 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075 0.000085 0.000097
2025-01-26 3.148290e-05 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094 0.000113
2025-02-02 2.679722e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000065 0.000084 0.000106 0.000134
2025-02-09 2.236130e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000115 0.000150
2025-02-16 2.071047e-05 0.000033 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000130 0.000173
2025-02-23 1.783200e-05 0.000030 0.000046 0.000069 0.000100 0.000138 0.000188
2025-03-02 1.427614e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000066 0.000098 0.000140 0.000195
2025-03-09 1.177934e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000064 0.000098 0.000143 0.000204
2025-03-16 9.863926e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000062 0.000099 0.000147 0.000213
2025-03-23 8.430012e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000100 0.000152 0.000225
2025-03-30 7.106561e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000060 0.000100 0.000156 0.000234
2025-04-06 5.738869e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000058 0.000099 0.000156 0.000239
2025-04-13 4.315419e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000055 0.000098 0.000158 0.000248
2025-04-20 3.316412e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000098 0.000162 0.000259
2025-04-27 2.931014e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000055 0.000103 0.000175 0.000282
2025-05-04 2.390063e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000055 0.000106 0.000182 0.000299
2025-05-11 2.283686e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000200 0.000329
2025-05-18 1.873985e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000059 0.000118 0.000208 0.000347
2025-05-25 1.319824e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000115 0.000207 0.000352
2025-06-01 9.628967e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000114 0.000210 0.000362
2025-06-08 7.093479e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000053 0.000114 0.000213 0.000373
2025-06-15 5.350584e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000052 0.000115 0.000219 0.000387
2025-06-22 3.853377e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000116 0.000223 0.000399